7TwelveTM Back-Tested Performance
Back-Tested Performance of the “Multi-Asset Portfolio” Concept
The fundamental (or core) concept behind the 7Twelve portfolio
has been tested over a 42-year period from 1970-2011 using 7
of the 12 sub-assets: Large US equity, Small US equity, Non-US
equity, Bonds, Cash, REITs, and Commodities. (These 7 sub-assets
have performance histories back to 1970, whereas not all of the components
in the 7Twelve do).
Each sub-asset was equally weighted in the portfolio (14.3%)
and annually rebalanced at the start of each year. Taxes and
inflation were not taken into account.
Average Annual Returns (%)
Numbers in red indicate negative returns
Past performance is no guarantee of future performance.
| Year |
Large US Equity |
Small US Equity |
Non-US Equity |
US Bonds |
Cash |
Real Estate |
Com- modities |
Equally Weighted Multi-Asset Portfolio |
| 1970 |
3.92 |
–17.43 |
–11.66 |
16.86 |
6.80 |
–4.00 |
15.17 |
1.38 |
| 1971 |
14.30 |
16.50 |
29.59 |
8.72 |
4.53 |
15.52 |
21.08 |
15.75 |
| 1972 |
19.00 |
4.43 |
36.35 |
5.16 |
4.24 |
8.01 |
42.43 |
17.09 |
| 1973 |
–14.69 |
–30.90 |
–14.92 |
4.61 |
7.46 |
–15.52 |
74.96 |
1.57 |
| 1974 |
–26.47 |
–19.95 |
–23.16 |
5.69 |
8.35 |
–21.40 |
39.51 |
–5.35 |
| 1975 |
37.23 |
52.82 |
35.39 |
7.83 |
6.08 |
19.30 |
–17.22 |
20.20 |
| 1976 |
23.93 |
57.38 |
2.54 |
15.60 |
5.23 |
47.59 |
–11.92 |
20.05 |
| 1977 |
–7.16 |
25.38 |
18.06 |
3.04 |
5.52 |
22.42 |
10.37 |
11.09 |
| 1978 |
6.57 |
23.46 |
32.62 |
1.39 |
7.67 |
10.98 |
31.61 |
16.33 |
| 1979 |
18.61 |
43.07 |
4.75 |
1.93 |
10.86 |
48.99 |
33.81 |
23.15 |
| 1980 |
32.50 |
38.60 |
22.58 |
2.71 |
12.71 |
33.12 |
11.08 |
21.90 |
| 1981 |
–4.92 |
2.03 |
–2.28 |
6.25 |
15.58 |
17.88 |
–23.01 |
1.65 |
| 1982 |
21.55 |
24.95 |
–1.86 |
32.62 |
11.66 |
20.91 |
11.56 |
17.34 |
| 1983 |
22.56 |
29.13 |
23.69 |
8.36 |
9.24 |
32.17 |
16.26 |
20.20 |
| 1984 |
6.27 |
–7.30 |
7.38 |
15.15 |
10.33 |
21.89 |
1.05 |
7.82 |
| 1985 |
31.73 |
31.05 |
56.16 |
22.10 |
7.97 |
6.50 |
10.01 |
23.65 |
| 1986 |
18.67 |
5.68 |
69.44 |
15.27 |
6.29 |
19.75 |
2.05 |
19.59 |
| 1987 |
5.25 |
–8.80 |
24.63 |
2.76 |
6.13 |
–6.59 |
23.77 |
6.74 |
| 1988 |
16.61 |
25.02 |
28.27 |
7.89 |
7.06 |
17.48 |
27.94 |
18.61 |
| 1989 |
31.69 |
16.26 |
10.54 |
14.53 |
8.67 |
2.72 |
38.28 |
17.53 |
| 1990 |
–3.10 |
–19.48 |
–23.45 |
8.96 |
7.99 |
–23.44 |
29.08 |
–3.35 |
| 1991 |
30.47 |
46.04 |
12.13 |
16.00 |
5.68 |
23.84 |
–6.13 |
18.29 |
| 1992 |
7.62 |
18.41 |
–12.17 |
7.40 |
3.59 |
15.13 |
4.42 |
6.34 |
| 1993 |
10.08 |
18.88 |
32.56 |
9.75 |
3.12 |
15.14 |
–12.33 |
11.03 |
| 1994 |
1.32 |
–1.82 |
7.78 |
–2.92 |
4.45 |
2.66 |
5.29 |
2.39 |
| 1995 |
37.58 |
28.45 |
11.21 |
18.48 |
5.79 |
12.24 |
20.33 |
19.15 |
| 1996 |
22.96 |
16.49 |
6.05 |
3.63 |
5.26 |
37.05 |
33.92 |
17.91 |
| 1997 |
33.36 |
22.36 |
1.78 |
9.66 |
5.31 |
19.66 |
–14.07 |
11.15 |
| 1998 |
28.58 |
–2.55 |
20.00 |
8.69 |
5.02 |
–17.01 |
–35.75 |
1.00 |
| 1999 |
21.04 |
21.26 |
26.97 |
–0.82 |
4.87 |
–2.58 |
40.92 |
15.95 |
| 2000 |
–9.10 |
–3.02 |
–14.17 |
11.63 |
6.32 |
31.04 |
49.74 |
10.35 |
| 2001 |
–11.89 |
2.49 |
–21.44 |
8.44 |
3.67 |
12.35 |
–31.93 |
–5.47 |
| 2002 |
–22.10 |
–20.48 |
–15.94 |
10.26 |
1.68 |
3.58 |
32.07 |
–1.56 |
| 2003 |
28.69 |
47.25 |
38.59 |
4.10 |
1.05 |
36.18 |
20.72 |
25.23 |
| 2004 |
10.88 |
18.33 |
20.25 |
4.34 |
1.43 |
33.16 |
17.28 |
15.10 |
| 2005 |
4.91 |
4.55 |
13.54 |
2.43 |
3.34 |
13.82 |
25.55 |
9.73 |
| 2006 |
15.79 |
18.37 |
26.34 |
4.33 |
5.07 |
35.97 |
–15.09 |
12.97 |
| 2007 |
5.49 |
–1.57 |
11.17 |
6.97 |
4.77 |
–17.56 |
32.67 |
5.99 |
| 2008 |
–37.00 |
–33.79 |
–43.38 |
5.24 |
1.51 |
–39.20 |
–46.49 |
–27.59 |
| 2009 |
26.46 |
27.17 |
31.78 |
5.93 |
0.16 |
28.46 |
13.49 |
19.06 |
| 2010 |
15.06 |
26.86 |
7.75 |
6.54 |
0.14 |
28.07 |
9.03 |
13.35 |
| 2011 |
2.11 |
–4.18 |
–12.14 |
7.84 |
0.06 |
9.37 |
–1.18 |
0.27 |
| 42-Year Average Annualized Return (%) |
| |
9.80 |
10.62 |
8.87 |
8.28 |
5.72 |
11.38 |
9.70 |
10.26 |
| 42-Year Standard Deviation of Annual Returns |
| |
17.75 |
22.25 |
22.76 |
6.57 |
3.41 |
19.65 |
24.71 |
10.47 |
| Worst 1-Year Return (%) |
| |
–37.00 |
–33.79 |
–43.38 |
–2.92 |
0.06 |
–39.20 |
–46.49 |
–27.59 |
| Worst 3-Year Cumulative Return (%) |
| |
–37.61 |
–42.24 |
–43.32 |
6.15 |
0.36 |
–35.61 |
–39.72 |
–13.30 |
Past performance is no guarantee of future performance.
A rebalanced, equally weighted, multi-asset portfolio produces superior risk-adjusted performance.
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